USA

Countries sized by selected metric with USA

CHN

Countries sized by selected metric with China

Each big rectangle is an anchor card (USA/CHN). Inside: sub-rectangles per country, sized by the selected metric. Exports/imports are recorded from each country's side with USA/CHN as the partner. Flags are loaded from a CDN (optional). Hover or keyboard focus highlights the same country on both sides. Pipeline refresh time and source observation periods are different concepts; always check the period shown for each value.

5–10 year trend

USA and China values use the selected metric and normalization.

Select a country to view its time series.

Evidence-grounded explanation

Every statement links back to a published observation or quality signal.

Select a country to view its explanation.

Decision support · descriptive

Trade exposure intelligence

Signals are derived only from the selected USA/China observations. They indicate exposure worth investigating, not shipment routes, causality, fraud, or investment advice.

Two-anchor scope

Selected-country signals

Concentration, balance, and partner growth divergence with explicit thresholds.

Select a country in Overview or the ranking below.

Observed anchor network

Filtered reporters connected to USA and China; link width represents the selected metric.

Select a country to load its reported multi-partner matrix when available. This is not an inferred physical supply-chain route.

Exposure ranking

Compare scale, China share, concentration, balance, and current growth signals.

Reporter	Observed value	China share	2-partner HHI	Net balance	Signal

Product drill-down

Strategic product explorer

Compare reproducible HS2/HS6 trade with source-revision-aware MFN tariff schedules.

Checking catalog…

HS2 product mix

Top traded product chapters from UN Comtrade, kept separate from headline totals.

Select a country to view product chapters.

Strategic HS6 trade & tariffs

Curated semiconductors, EV batteries, critical minerals, data infrastructure, and solar products.

Sector

Loading strategic HS6 registry…

Provenance first

Data catalog and quality

Inspect coverage before interpretation, then export the exact filtered observations behind a view.

Data quality

Coverage, period comparability, collection runs, and provider differences.

Quality JSON

Loading quality report…

Dataset catalog

Machine-readable resource inventory, granularity, partitioning, and readiness.

Catalog JSON

Loading dataset catalog…

Accessible trade data table

Filter all reporters, open country details, or download the normalized dataset as CSV. Values are nominal US dollars.

Filter reporters

Loading reporters…

Reporter countries and their trade with the United States and China for the selected metric.
Reporter	USA period	USA trade	CHN period	CHN trade	Combined trade	China share

Assumption-driven preview

Tariff scenario lab

Stress-test the selected reporter's observed imports with transparent elasticity assumptions. This does not estimate GDP, welfare, trade diversion, or causal effects.

Illustrative model

Scenario assumptions

Baseline imports come from the active country, period, and partner selection.

Illustrative result

Constant-elasticity arithmetic with a lower bound; all assumptions remain visible.

Select a country in Overview or Intelligence, then run a scenario.

Path to a production model

Required before results can be described as SMART-like.

Tariff schedulesProduct-, partner-, regime-, and year-specific rates.
Elasticity registrySource, product level, uncertainty, and version.
Substitution modelTrade creation/diversion and alternative suppliers.
ValidationBacktests, sensitivity intervals, and model cards.